New York Giants Season Prediction

Overview:

Schedule: PIT, @CHI, SF, @LAR, @DAL, WAS, @PHI, TB, @WAS, PHI, BYE, @CIN, @SEA, ARI, CLE, @BAL, DAL

Additions: CB James Bradberry (FA), LB Blake Martinez (FA), TE Levine Toilolo (FA), DB Logan Ryan (FA), EDGE Kyler Fackrell (FA), OL Cameron Fleming (FA), (FA), DL Austin Johnson (FA), K Graham Gano (FA), LS Casey Kreiter (FA), CB Isaac Yiadom (Trade), OL Andrew Thomas (Draft), S Xavier McKinney (Draft), OL Matt Peart (Draft)

Losses: OL Nate Solder (Opt-out), CB Sam Beal (Opt-out), OL Mike Remmers (FA), S Michael Thomas (FA), S Xavier McKinney (Injury), LB David Mayo (Injury)

Analysis:

Is Joe Judge Matt Patricia 2.0? He seems to be taking the same Belichick-esque approach as his fellow disciple. Modeling your style after the leader of the greatest dynasty in pro sports history has to be smart, right? Well, not exactly. For a six-time champion, it works great. For a first-year coach, not so much. Lions players quickly grew tired of their authoritarian coach during his 6-10 debut season. Now, his job is on life support. Six wins is a good ballpark estimate for the Giants, so Judge could be headed down the same dark path.

While the head coach makes his bold transition, New York’s new offensive coordinator should have a much easier time. Leading a team proved not to be his thing, but Jason Garrett has a good track record as an OC. He deserves some credit for Dallas’ number one offense in 2019. There are some exciting pieces for him to work with, too.

After being a much-maligned pick, Daniel Jones changed a lot of opinions last year, including mine. He had the typical promising rookie season, alternating between inexcusable turnovers and huge plays. A huge year in 2020 could be in order given all the talent around him. In the backfield, Saquon Barkley is one of the best in the game. After battling injuries for most of last season, he could deliver the special season many expected last time around.

For targets, Jones has no shortage of options. There’s no Odell Beckham-level player, but the Giants are loaded with good WR2s. Sterling Shepard, Golden Tate, and Darius Slayton are likely to frustrate fantasy owners with weekly rotations of top receiver performances. Evan Engram will get in the mix, too. Despite his tight end listing, the 2017 first-round pick is essentially a big receiver.

Offensive line play is the one thing holding this unit back from elite status. Opt-out Nate Solder hasn’t come close to living up to his contract, but he’ll be sorely missed nonetheless. His replacement, Andrew Thomas, was the most pro-ready tackle in the draft and should enjoy an easier transition than most of his peers. Still, putting too much faith in a rookie is a dangerous game. Outside of right guard Kevin Zeitler, the rest of the offensive line is scary. If this group is just average, New York has the firepower to make a little noise this year. Even adequate play feels ambitious, though.

Defensively, the three-man front of Dexter Lawrence, Dalvin Tomlinson, and Leonard Williams should be dominant. Last year, they were merely good. For this defense to stop anyone, they’re going to have to be special in 2020. I still have faith.

They won’t get much support from an edge group led by Markus Golden. While the former Cardinal had double-digit sacks last year, he had so little free agent interest that the Giants were able to bust out a fun loophole to keep him for nothing. He must’ve done something to become such a league-wide pariah. Despite showing him no love, New York needs a repeat performance to compensate for the weak pass rush around him.

Blake Martinez is not going to fix the linebacker position. Being a “tackling machine” isn’t nearly as important as being a good coverage guy in today’s NFL. Martinez is great at first and not so much at the latter. Opposing running backs and tight ends should eat against this weak group.

The Giants’ recent flurry of moves should tell you all you need to know about the state of the secondary. With Sam Beal opting out and DeAndre Baker being a really, really sore loser, the corner spot opposite James Bradberry is a major worry. Recent signee Logan Ryan will split time between safety and corner, so Big Blue still needs an every-down option. With nothing special around them, Bradberry and Ryan aren’t enough to keep this unit afloat. I don’t think highly of the defense, and the secondary is a big reason why.

Expect a lot of shootouts for New York this year. Also, expect them to come out on the losing end most of the time. The offense will have too many sacks and turnovers while the defense is just plain bad. Throw in potential locker room issues, and you have the recipe for a poor record. The schedule isn’t doing them any favors, either.

What’s your record prediction for the Giants? What did I get right or wrong? Sound off in the comments.

New York Jets Season Prediction

Overview:

Schedule: @BUF, SF, @IND, DEN, ARI, @LAC, BUF, @KC, NE, @MIA, BYE, MIA, LVR, @SEA, @LAR, CLE, @NE

Additions: OL George Fant (FA), OL Connor McGovern (FA), OL Greg Van Roten (FA), WR Breshad Perriman (FA), CB Pierre Desir (FA), LB Patrick Onwuasor (FA), RB Frank Gore (FA), S Bradley McDougald (Trade), OL Mekhi Becton (Draft), WR Denzel Mims (Draft), EDGE/DL Jabari Zuniga (Draft)

Losses: S Jamal Adams (Trade), LB C.J. Mosley (Opt-out), WR Robby Anderson (FA), OL Brandon Shell (FA), OL Tom Compton (FA), CB Darryl Roberts (FA), WR Vyncint Smith (Injury), EDGE Tarell Basham (Injury)

Analysis:

I’m seeing a lot of predictions giving the Jets three or four wins. If those are right, there will likely be parades in the streets of New York to celebrate Adam Gase’s firing. If they match or exceed the six I’m predicting, it’ll be a lot dicier. A playoff berth virtually guarantees another year of Old Crazy Eyes while just remaining in the hunt in December could do the trick as well. This might be one of the few times when a team’s fans will be disappointed if they do well.

Now that Sam Darnold is hopefully done getting teenager viruses, we could see the breakout season many, myself included, expected last year. Everyone loves to make fun of him for his paranormal visions, but Darnold was solid last year given the circumstances. Let’s not forget he had some of the worst blockers and weapons in the league.

New York completely revamped its offensive line, replacing four of five starters from arguably the worst line in the league. With that being said, questions remain about how much better they’ll be. At tackle, they’re projected to start a raw rookie and a former basketball player who often struggled with his last team. The interior looks better, with lone holdover Alex Lewis joined by offseason acquisitions Connor McGovern and Greg Van Roten. Expect big-time improvement from this group, just not elite-level play.

The Jets’ running back room didn’t undergo nearly as much change, but could see a similarly large bump in production. Le’Veon Bell and Gase have reportedly worked out their issues after last year’s soap opera. That could mean a return to his Pittsburgh form for Bell. Or, it could mean absolutely nothing. Would anyone be surprised if Gase gives the bulk of the carries to 63-year-old Frank Gore?

Like seemingly every team in this division, the Jets have nothing special at tight end. Receiver isn’t much better, either. Rookie Denzel Mims, Breshad Perriman, and Jamison Crowder comprise Darnold’s top three targets. While Crowder has a long history of production in the slot, the other two form an unintimidating pair of outside receivers.

Looking at the defense, there shouldn’t be a large drop-off from 2019’s surprisingly great unit. Everyone brings up C.J. Mosley opting out, but the Jets only had him for like 30 seconds last season anyway. After missing all of last season himself, Avery Williamson’s return could give the position a boost as well. Still, New York’s original plan was for Mosley and Williamson to start alongside one another and this marks the second straight year that won’t come to fruition.

The big departure to worry about is Jamal Adams. Superstars like him make everyone better, so we’ll see just how much his loss is felt. A guy like Quinnen Williams stepping up could help offset that, though. He didn’t do much as a rookie, but still has a ton of potential. The defensive line will be stout and the secondary should remain solid with Bradley McDougald replacing Adams.

The main worry is the pass rush. New York only had 35 sacks last season and didn’t do much to address the need. Adams’ (6.5 sacks) presence will be missed here as well. Williams breaking out would likely account for those numbers. Outside of him, the Jets are going to need someone to step up across from Jordan Jenkins. The main candidates are Tarell Basham (4 career sacks) and rookie Jabari Zuniga. With Basham currently projected to miss the start of the season, Zuniga might be thrown into the fire.

Every AFC East team has a tough schedule, drawing the AFC and NFC West. New York also gets Indianapolis and Cleveland—two teams with comparable or better talent. That’s why I have the Jets dropping a win despite an arguably better roster. Plus, the possibility of a midseason coaching change looms large if they get off to a bad start.

What’s your record prediction for the Jets? What did I get right or wrong? Sound off in the comments.